TORONTO — Fears of weakened demand stemming from higher interest rates pushed the energy sector and Canada’s main stock index lower midweek as inflation hit a near 40-year high in May.
“Canada has been outperforming other markets this year, but not so this week. Energy is seeing a lot of profit taking, and as bond yields pull back we could see a bounce in the oversold tech stocks into quarter end,” said Greg Taylor, chief investment officer of Purpose Investments.
The S&P/TSX composite index closed down 253.25 points to 19,004.04, ending two days of gains.
Energy was the biggest laggard Wednesday, losing 5.4% as weaker crude oil prices hurt the shares of Canadian producers with Baytex Energy Corp. and Meg Energy Corp., losing 12% and 9.5%, respectively.
The August crude oil contract was down US$3.33 at US$106.19 per barrel after hitting an intraday low of US$101.53. The July natural gas contract was up five cents at US$6.86 per mmBTU.
The Canadian dollar traded for 77.27 cents US compared with 77.35 cents US on Tuesday.
Taylor said the fear in equity markets this week has centred on recession with the U.S. Federal Reserve seeming ready to accept a recession to deal with inflation. That’s hurt commodities, with energy and copper losing ground.
Several large U.S. banks are predicting a growing likelihood of a recession.
Fed chairman Jerome Powell played down recession concerns but told the Senate banking committee the central bank has the “resolve” to tame inflation.
“We’re not trying to provoke and don’t think that we will need to provoke a recession,” Powell said. “But we do think it’s absolutely essential that we restore price stability, really for the benefit of the labour market as much as anything else.”
However, he also said achieving a soft landing for the economy without a recession has become “significantly more challenging.”
Powell’s testimony came a week after the Fed raised its interest rate by 0.75%, its biggest increase in nearly three decades.
The Bank of Canada is expected to follow suit next month, especially after soaring gas prices helped the annual inflation rate in May soar to its highest level in nearly 40 years.
“This should pretty well guarantee that the Bank of Canada will hike by 75 bps at the next meeting,” Taylor wrote in an email.
In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was down 47.12 points at 30,483.13. The S&P 500 index was down 4.90 points at 3,759.89, and the Nasdaq composite was down 16.22 points at 11,053.08.
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